A scoring engine refined across 11 iterations and 3,700+ backtested trades. Multi-timeframe, regime-adaptive, conviction-rated. Every signal earns its place — or gets rejected.
| Metric | Veridian v11 | BTC Buy & Hold | ETH Buy & Hold | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Return | +16,630% | +392% | +162% | 42x outperformance vs BTC |
| CAGR | 105.2% | 21.5% | 12.5% | Compounds at 5x the rate of BTC |
| Max Drawdown | -14.7% | -81.4% | -94.0% | 5.5x shallower than BTC; never gives back a full year |
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.12 | 0.58 | 0.52 | >2.0 is institutional-grade risk-adjusted return |
| Sortino Ratio | 4.96 | 0.77 | 0.71 | Extreme downside protection relative to upside |
| Profit Factor | 2.02 | — | $2.02 earned for every $1 lost | |
| Win Rate | 41% | — | Low WR, high R:R (2.93) — trend-following profile | |
| Avg Return / Trade | +6.46% | — | Positive expectancy per signal after fees | |
| $100K → | $16.7M | $492K | $262K | Hypothetical growth of $100K starting capital |
Backtest assumptions: 2% portfolio risk per trade, 3x leverage, isolated margin. Fees: 0.05% per trade + 0.03%/day estimated funding cost. Signals exit on counter-signal only. Walk-forward validated (trained 2018–2023, tested 2024–2026). Regime-adaptive thresholds applied. Sunday signals excluded. 7 underperforming assets blacklisted.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. These figures are backtested, not live-traded. Actual results will differ due to slippage, liquidity, execution timing, and market conditions. See full disclaimer below.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|
Basis: 2% risk per trade, 3x leverage, 0.05% fees + 0.03%/day funding. Regime-adaptive thresholds, v11 scoring with funding rate and BTC Sortino adjustments. Returns are on portfolio equity, not per-trade.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
| Asset | Trades | Win Rate | Avg Return | Profit Factor | Total Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE | 121 | 36.4% | +21.2% | 1.88 | +2,564% |
| ZEC | 96 | 27.1% | +17.5% | 4.17 | +1,677% |
| FLOKI | 64 | 32.8% | +38.6% | 2.06 | +2,470% |
| ONE | 138 | 40.6% | +25.0% | 1.24 | +3,454% |
| BTC | 59 | 40.7% | +22.6% | 2.25 | +1,331% |
| PENDLE | 37 | 45.9% | +15.8% | 2.05 | +585% |
| PEPE | 36 | 47.2% | +11.9% | 1.38 | +427% |
| ETH | 119 | 35.3% | +10.8% | 1.21 | +1,280% |
| ROSE | 53 | 39.6% | +14.0% | 1.33 | +743% |
| MANA | 90 | 30.0% | +6.1% | 1.24 | +547% |
| Exit Date | Asset | Side | Hold | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | NEAR | SHORT | 1d | -4.3% |
| 2026-02-23 | LINK | SHORT | 1d | -2.1% |
| 2026-02-22 | DOGE | SHORT | 2d | +6.7% |
| 2026-02-22 | AAVE | SHORT | 2d | +7.2% |
| 2026-02-21 | PEPE | SHORT | 3d | +12.4% |
| 2026-02-21 | FLOKI | SHORT | 3d | +17.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | NEAR | LONG | 2d | -22.7% |
| 2026-02-21 | AAVE | LONG | 1d | -9.3% |
| 2026-02-20 | LINK | LONG | 3d | -23.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | THETA | SHORT | 6d | +14.1% |
| 2026-02-14 | DOGE | LONG | 8d | -42.4% |
| 2026-01-30 | PENDLE | SHORT | 25d | +93.9% |
| 2026-01-29 | BNB | SHORT | 26d | +91.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | MANA | SHORT | 27d | +96.5% |
| 2026-01-25 | BTC | SHORT | 30d | +80.5% |
RSI/SMA cross signals detected across 59 crypto futures in real time via TradingView infrastructure.
Each signal scored across 13 features on 3 timeframes, plus funding rate and BTC Sortino adjustments.
Bull/bear regime detected. Signals below regime-specific conviction thresholds are rejected.
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Disclaimer: Veridian Research provides market research and analysis for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing published constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. All performance figures shown are backtested results using historical data (January 2018 – March 2026) with 2% portfolio risk per trade, 3x leverage, isolated margin, 0.05% trading fees, and estimated 0.03%/day funding costs. Backtested results do not reflect actual trading and may not account for all market conditions, slippage, or liquidity constraints. Trading crypto futures involves substantial risk of loss including the possibility of losing more than your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Veridian Research is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or financial planner.